January 16, 2021

NFL Week 8 Prop & Futures Bets: Who offers value this week?

4 min read
The arrival of Week 8 means we are now almost at the halfway point of...

The arrival of Week 8 means we are now almost at the halfway point of the regular season and with that comes some greater attention of the prop bet market around NFL futures alongside just this game week. Each week, our NFL betting team will be providing you with our favorite prop bets to help win you some cash. This article will break down various angles through all of Sunday and Monday’s games, as we continuously update our selections as more lines become available. We will also kick off the article with some potential Super Bowl futures bets that may offer value right now.

Related | NFL Betting 101: An introductory guide to prop bets

Week 8 begins on Thursday Night Football, as the Atlanta Falcons and Carolina Panthers clash in a battle that both teams need to win to have any shot of competing in their division or the playoff picture in general. The end of the week sees the Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the New York Giants in a battle that will see Tom Brady take on the franchise that defeated him twice in the Super Bowl. Let’s dive into some of our favorite prop bets for Week 8 of the NFL, but first, let’s look at those Super Bowl futures!

Super Bowl Futures

With six or seven weeks in the books for all 32 NFL teams, the Super Bowl futures odds are starting to take shape. Unsurprisingly, the 6-1 Kansas City Chiefs lead the pack in most places, but behind them, there are some interesting numbers that we could look to exploit.

Firstly, let’s address the overvalued teams. The Baltimore Ravens (5-1) have the record to deserve their billing as second-favorite, but their performances on the field have left a lot to be desired, and they have failed their biggest test so far. The Seattle Seahawks (5-1) also look to be slightly overvalued given the frailties in their defense and their lack of ability to close games out defensively. Sandwiched between them are Tom Brady’s Buccaneers (5-2), who have looked superb the last two weeks. However, they have also shown concerning signs at times through the first seven weeks.

In terms of potential values when it comes to NFL futures, the Pittsburgh Steelers (6-0) should arguably be better than third in the AFC, after they held off a late charge from the previously unbeaten Tennessee Titans in Week 7. Sports Betting Dime’s Super Bowl odds tracker has the 6-0 Steelers listed at +950, but that could swing fairly wildly if they stay undefeated after this weekend’s game with the Ravens.

The real value right now appears to be in the Green Bay Packers, who have shrunk to the sixth favorite in most places after they were manhandled by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. However, the Packers appear to have an offense that can compete with most teams and can attack you however they want. With Aaron Rodgers under center, look for this team to be in the reckoning when we get to the sharp end of the NFC in January.

Week 8 Thursday Night Football

Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers | Thursday, October 29th, 8:20 PM

Ben Rolfe: Todd Gurley over 63.5 rushing yards

Gurley has not had a huge amount of success in his first season in Atlanta but this matchup is a repeat of his most successful outing of the season so far. When these two teams last met, Gurley had over 100 rushing yards.

Related | NFL Picks, Predictions for Week 8: Opening betting lines, odds, and scores

The Panthers rank 28th in the league in yards per rush attempt, so Gurley should be able to find success again this time out. Carolina has allowed over 100 rush yards in six of their seven games this season, and with Gurley the main ball carrier in Atlanta, look for him to get the majority of those yards.

Atlanta Falcons +7.5 & under 57 points

This should be an incredibly close game between division rivals. The Panthers came out on top in the first matchup but the Atlanta Falcons have Julio Jones back which should make a distance. These two teams played out a relatively sedate 23-16 matchup in Week 5. I expect this game to be slightly higher scoring, but 57 is a lot of points to be able to tease this one too. Only one Panthers game has gone over 57 and that was back in Week 1. Look for this to be a tight game, finishing in the 24-21 region this week.

Other prop bets to consider in the Week 8 Thursday Night Football matchup

The two receivers in Carolina are both impressive and the over is extremely tempting for both of their receiving yards. Robby Anderson’s line sits just over the 70-yard mark and he has gone over that in all but one game this season. As for D.J. Moore, his line is generally sitting below 70, a total he has gone beyond in each of the last three weeks, hitting 93 in each game. Both overs are in play but I do not tend to lock in receiving yardage over 50 yards.

Related | NFL Betting Lines Week 8: What odds should I target?

In terms of anytime touchdown odds, there is not a lot of value to be found on the currently listed odds. The touchdowns are likely to be shared among, Gurley, Anderson, Moore, Jones, Calvin Ridley, and the Panthers running backs. Steer clear of this angle and focus on the player props and teasers this week.

Source link